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270 Samples Collected from
elevators in 18 reporting areas.
Great Plains Analytical
Laboratory in Kansas City, MO, collected the samples and conducted the quality
analyses.
Test weight, moisture,
protein, thousand kernel weight, wheat ash and falling number were determined
on each sample. The remaining tests were determined on 18 composite samples.
Results were weighted by estimated production for each reporting area and
combined into Composite, East Coast and Gulf Port averages.
Gulf Port States
and East Coast states are highlighted on the map on page 39. The survey was
expanded this year to include Alabama and Tennessee. The methods are described
in the Analysis Methods section of this blog.
WEATHER AND HARVEST
Soft red winter wheat
(SRW) is grown over a wide area of eastern United States. The area seeded to
SRW in fall 2016 for the 2017 harvest is estimated by USDA at 5.6 million acres
(2.3 million hectares), down from the year prior and well-below the 5-year
average.
The reduced area is attributed mainly to choices made by growers based
on commodity prices. The 2017 SRW production, estimated at 7.9 million metric
tons (MMT), is down from 9.4 MMT in 2016 and is well below the 5-year average.
However, USDA estimates that the total SRW supply (excluding imports) for
2017/18 is slightly higher than 2016/17 because of large 2017/18 beginning
stocks.
Soft Red Winter Production |
While some of the southeastern
region was dry through the winter months, ample rain in March through early
June provided adequate moisture for crop development. The beginning of SRW
harvest was delayed somewhat by rain, but once started, harvest progressed
rapidly.
WHEAT AND GRADE DATA
When analysis results are weighted by estimated state production, the
average grade of all samples collected for the 2017 SRW harvest survey is U.S.
No. 2. The weighted average test weight is 59.1 lb/bu above the 5-year average
and the 58.6 lb/bu average of 2016.
The Gulf Port average of 59.2 lb/bu is
similar to the 2016 average and above the 5-year average of 58.6 lb/ bu. The
East Coast test weight average of 58.6 lb/bu is above both last year and the
5-year average. The Gulf dockage value of 0.3% is lower than any
recorded in the previous five years. Other grade factors, as well as moisture
and dockage for both areas are similar to or better than the 5-year averages.
The Composite average wheat protein content of 9.5% (12% moisture
basis) is similar to last year and only slightly below the 5-year average of
9.8%. The 2017 East Coast and Gulf Port protein averages are similar.
However,
the East Coast average protein of 9.4% is below the region’s 2016 and 5-year
averages, while the Gulf Port average of 9.5% is above the region’s 2016
average of 9.1% and slightly below its 5-year average of 9.7%.
The Composite
average falling number of 319 sec is below 2016 but above the 5-year average
and indicates a generally sound crop. Fewer than 20% of samples had a falling
number below 300 sec in 2017, and only 4 of 270 were below 250 sec.
The
Composite DON average of 0.4 ppm is below the 2016 value of 0.6 ppm and
well-below the 5-year average of 1.3 ppm, indicating that the crop sampled is
relatively free of DON. The East Coast value of 0.8 ppm and the Gulf Port value
of 0.3 ppm are both below last year’s values and 5-year averages.
Soft Red Winter Wheat Data (Test Weight, Hectoliter Weight, Moisture, Protein (12% MB), 1000 kernel weight and Falling Number |
FLOUR AND BAKING DATA
The Composite, East Coast and Gulf Port Buhler laboratory mill flour
extraction averages are all above 2016 values, but below the respective 5-year
averages. The Composite farinograph peak and absorption values are similar to
5-year averages, but the stability value of 2.2 min is slightly shorter than
last year and the 5-year average.
The Gulf Port peak and stability averages of
1.3 min and 2.4 min, respectively, are similar to last year and the 5-year
averages, while the East Coast peak and stability values of 1.2 min and 1.7 min
are both shorter than last year and the 5-year averages.
The Composite and Gulf Port alveograph W values of 91 and 93,
respectively, are higher than the 5-year averages of 80 and 79. The other
Composite, East Coast and Gulf Port alveograph values are all similar to the
respective 5-year averages, given the variability of alveograph analysis.
The
Composite and Gulf Port cookie spread ratios are lower than last year and the
5-year averages. Average loaf volumes are all similar to last year and the
5-year averages.
SUMMARY
Although reduced planted area decreased 2017 SRW production, the crop
had a generally favorable growing season and harvest conditions for both East
Coast and Gulf Port states. Test weight is well above average and dockage is
below average.
The entire crop in the states sampled is largely free of sprout
damage, and DON values are all below last year and the 5-year averages. Buyers
are encouraged to review their quality specifications to ensure that their
purchases meet their expectations.
EXPORT CARGO SURVEY
Percentage of total US SW production by export tributary region |
The export cargo data represent 86 sublot samples provided by USDA’s
Federal Grain Inspection Service for Export for crop years 2016 and 2015 from
Gulf of Mexico and East Coast ports. Grade data are the official grades on the
individual sublots. Great Plains Analytical Laboratory conducted the milling
and baking analyses
Title : Soft Red Winter (US Wheat Associates 2017 Crop Quality Report)
Originally Post At : www.uswheat.org
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